有關非核家園文章,敬請酌參 - i_love_taiwan | Google 網上論壇

有關非核家園文章,敬請酌參 - i_love_taiwan | Google 網上論壇: "I would recommend Ms. Tsai get full and complete facts before sealing off nuke 4 after its construction is completed. I would also reconmend Ms. Tsai bring in more business and industrial people as her advisors.

目前台灣的備用電量是德國的兩倍. Does this means that the reserve of Taiwanese electric generation is twice that of Germany? Does Germany have better and more morden electric power generators that requires less maintenance schedule? Does Germany have so many Taphoon and quake annually as in Taiwan that may potential damage and stop the operation of power plants. Ask the engineers in Tai Electric Corporation and get the fact straight first. Why Taiwan needs such high ratio of reserve capacity.

難道所有的產業都支持核電嗎？答案是否定的。長榮集團的張榮發董事長，就是一個鮮明的例子。 Does Evergreen need a lot electricity in its operation? The answer is no. Why ask an non-affected person about this issue? Why not ask the guys in Semiconductor industries? Do you want to raise the electric utility fees, frequently having blackout, and drive the last big industry out of Taiwan? Get the full facts from all industrial sectors before setting the policy.

What is the perception of other nations about Taiwan after spending $250 billion in a decade and then shutting down upon its completion? Bravo???
Does Taiwan have a consistent industrial policy? Is the in-fighting between DDP and KMT still going on? Will Taiwan have sufficient electric capacity to meet future industrial expansion needs. Is DPP pro or against business? Is this a good, attractive sign to invest in Taiwan from a business perspective?

To the majority Taiwanese perspective, is this a rational approach? Did Japan announce shutting down all nuke within 13 years after such a huge nuclear event? Did any major nations announce shutting down all nuke within 15 years without any idea of replacing the nuke power?

Last comments
I live within 25 miles of San Onofre nuclear power plants in Southern California. The affluent San Clemente, the city where President Richard Nixon lived after his exit from the White House, is within 5 miles of the power plant. San Onofre is located in an active quake zone and set on the beach. There have been several reports of safety violations about the plant’s procedures. But I have not heard of any mass active demands to shut down the nuke plant even after the Japanese earth quake and nuclear power plant disaster. Every summer, people still camps and swims at San Onofre beach.

People have different needs, views and tolerance about the nuclear power plants. If DDP does not plan to govern, it can call any shots it wants. Otherwise, our advice to DPP should be “prudent, pragmatic and get the all the facts straight before setting up the policy”. If the policy does not have the buy-in from over 60% of the population, then be extra prudent. We all would like to build Taiwan into an Asian Switzerland. A nation that is beautiful, neutral and independent. However, it is a far reaching goal given the situations that Taiwan is in. Let us keep it in mind, but do it with time, and do it right.

--- On Wed, 3/30/11, Frank S T Hsiao wrote:

From: Frank S T Hsiao
Subject: [I Love Taiwan] RE: 致各位先進,有關非核家園文章,敬請酌參
To: ''yuching wei'' , 'undisclosed-recipients:'...@colorado.edu
Cc: ''I_love_taiwan'' , natpa_forum@googlegroups.com
Date: Wednesday, March 30, 2011, 9:12 PM

「2025非核家園」不是要立即停止所有台灣的核電廠，也不是要讓正在興建中的核四廠立即停工，

Read the LEAP report and the data on demand and supply of Taiwan’s nuclear energy I presented the other day, I would say Taiwan can afford to stop #4 plant, even right now, and gradually phase out all other NE plants by 2025, or even right now. But before that, you need a plan how to develop substitutes of NE.
In any case Tsai appears to have a vision.


From: yuching wei [mailto:flower0...@gmail.com]
Sent: Tuesday, March 29, 2011 8:30 PM
To: undisclosed-recipients:
Subject: 致各位先進,有關非核家園文章,敬請酌參

不改變就永遠沒有非核家園（03-26-2011蔡英文）

日本福島核災事件爆發之後，德國女總理莫克（Angela Merkel）發表談話表示：「自3月11日起，全球，包括能源世界都變得不一樣了，需要一點時間進行安全分析，而且答案會有好幾種，不會只有德國一種版本。」她勇敢而負責地告訴人民，所謂德國的版本是，將公布清楚的時間表，加速能源政策的轉變，盡速邁向再生能源的非核時代。

莫克沒說錯，同是國家領導人，馬英九總統版本是：既有核電廠繼續運轉，核四繼續興建。答案已經很清楚，國民黨政府是一個擁抱核能發電的政府，我們的能源政策正走向一條與德國相反的道路上。

台灣的電真的不夠用嗎？答案是否定的。目前台灣的備用電量是德國的兩倍，所以無電可用完全是政府對人民莫須有的恐嚇。

台灣的核電廠有比日本福島安全嗎？答案是否定的。日本福島核電廠的抗震係數是0.6G，我們的核一廠是0.3G，核二與核三廠是0.4G。更不用說，核四廠附近還有海底活火山。難道所有的產業都支持核電嗎？答案是否定的。長榮集團的張榮發董事長，就是一個鮮明的例子。

我們有比其他國家寬廣的幅員可以讓我們的國民撤離嗎？答案也是否定的。首都台北只離核電廠約30公里。一旦事故發生，連同新北市、基隆周遭將有超過六百萬人口必須撤離。

要撤到哪裡？哪裡還有另一個台灣？

我從媒體上看到，有一個日本核電廠員工死守崗位，傳了簡訊給他太太，說暫時不回來了。我看到有一對母女，女兒受了輻射感染，兩人只能隔著玻璃，借著玻璃上的水氣畫個愛心，當時媽媽一定在告訴女兒要堅強，可是她自己的心一定在滴血。我不希望台灣有一天也面臨同樣的重創；我不希望有任何一個台電員工有一天必須發出那封訣別的簡訊；我不希望台灣有任何一對母女因為國家錯誤的政策而受阻於兩個世界。

我要台灣人民好好的，一個也不會少，一個也不能少，沒有人會因為核電事故帶來人生的悲劇。
須有政策和時間表
當前世界，重大天然災難在全球此起彼落，我們已是在跟大自然借時間。台灣不能等，其實有一條不同的路，所以我提出「2025年非核家園計劃」。這是我相信的價值，也是個經過我與專家與幕僚討論，深思熟慮後所研擬的計劃。

「2025非核家園」不是要立即停止所有台灣的核電廠，也不是要讓正在興建中的核四廠立即停工，「2025非核家園」計劃是要跟社會溝通，跟人民說服，在台灣整體產業結構與替代能源政策都調整好的情況下，未來逐步達成目標。

我知道非核家園的長遠計劃這一條路不好走，一定會遭受很多攻擊與阻力。但是，我認為，關鍵的議題上，一個政治領導人物沒有閃躲的空間，應當理性而勇敢地帶領社會一起共同追求永恆的價值。

這個世界上沒有人有權利把自身的安全建立在別人的勇敢上面，尤其是政府。2025年的台灣會是一個怎麼樣的台灣，取決於此時此刻這個世代的人的決定。

我選擇跟馬英九走不一樣的路，因為負責任的國家領導人不能讓2300萬人民一直擁抱著核電廠，然後一廂情願的祈求上天保佑核災永遠不會發生；因為非核家園不能只是口號，必須提出具體可行的政策方案和落實的時間表。


2025年，我希望跟台灣人民共同見證非核家園在我們美麗的土地上實現。


蔡英文辦公室
地址:台北市長安東路1段23號7樓-3
電話:02-25635708

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